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California utility Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG&E) has a pretty ambitious wish list this holiday season, but fortunately, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Loan Program Office (LPO) is feeling particularly generous ahead of President-elect Trump retaking office. (Sorry, I couldn’t find a picture of Jigar Shah in a Santa hat for this post.)
Today the LPO announced a conditional commitment for a low-interest loan guarantee of up to $15 billion for PG&E’s Project Polaris, which was submitted to the feds for consideration in June 2023. If finalized, the loan guarantee will support a portfolio of projects to expand hydropower generation and battery storage, upgrade transmission capacity through reconductoring and grid-enhancing technologies, and enable virtual power plants throughout PG&E’s service area. The utility, which serves about 16 million customers in Northern and Central California, says the loan will help it meet forecasted load growth, increase electric reliability, and reduce costs for its rate base.
Today’s announcement is the second Energy Infrastructure Reinvestment (EIR) project under LPO’s flexible loan facility and disbursement approach tailored for regulated, investment-grade utilities. The first was for the restoration and repowering of the Holtec Palisades nuclear plant, slated to become the first shut-down nuke plant to be recommissioned in the United States.
Electric utility borrowers for EIR projects must demonstrate that the financial benefits received from the DOE loan guarantee will be passed on to the customers of that utility or the communities it serves. LPO borrowers must develop and implement a comprehensive Community Benefits Plan (CBP), which ensures borrowers meaningfully engage with community and labor stakeholders to create good-paying, high-quality jobs and improve the well-being of the local community and workers. In its CBP, PG&E plans to expand its outreach programs to boost engagement and deliver community benefits in partnership with key stakeholders, including local governments, Native American Tribes, community-based organizations, and low-and-middle-income customers. PG&E has committed to locating many projects in disadvantaged communities, as identified by the Climate and Economic Justice Screening Tool.
LPO’s holiday spending spree
It’s no secret that the LPO is trying to get as much money as possible out the door before the Trump Administration takes office on January 20. In September, Trump pledged to rescind any unspent funds under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the bipartisan infrastructure law that has pumped billions of dollars into the domestic supply chain and clean energy projects from coast to coast.
“To further defeat inflation, my plan will terminate the Green New Deal, which I call the Green New Scam,” Trump promised.
While it’s understandably easier for the President-elect to reign in unspent funding, he will have a tougher time navigating conditional loan guarantees and virtually no chance of recalling funds that have been distributed. According to the Wall Street Journal, the LPO is expected to extend the loan to PG&E via multiple cash installments spread out over several years, and the funding cannot be withdrawn by subsequent administrations. The LPO has closed on more than a dozen loans so far, totaling more than $13 billion.
The LPO has been especially this month, announcing a flurry of new loan activity. Yesterday, it announced $9.63 billion for BlueOval SK to finance the construction of three electric vehicle (EV) battery plants in Tennessee and Kentucky. Last week, DOE closed on a $1.25 billion guarantee with EVgo to expand public fast-charging infrastructure nationwide. The week before that was highlighted by a $303.5 million loan guarantee for Eos Energy Enterprises to support two Pennsylvania-based manufacturing facilities developing long-duration batteries. DOE also inked a conditional commitment of up to $7.54 billion with StarPlus Energy, a joint venture between automaker Stellantis and South Korean battery maker Samsung SDI, that will finance two lithium-ion battery cell and module factories in Indiana. According to an analysis by TechCrunch, automakers and battery manufacturers have attracted more than $112 billion via the IRA to build out domestic facilities.
How much more can DOE’s LPO spend?
The LPO has been granted the authority to distribute hundreds of billions of dollars to innovative clean energy and advanced manufacturing projects.
Through September 2024, the office reported financing nearly $44 billion worth to date. As of the EVgo announcement referenced above, that total was closer to $55 billion. Tacking on the billions for BlueOval SK’s battery plants and the PG&E guarantee brings LPO’s total near $90 billion. And there’s more to come.
Through November 2024, DOE’s LPO reports more than 200 active applications accounting for more than $324 billion in requested funding.
As of the start of this month, DOE estimated it had around $397 billion left to play around with, including more than $244 billion for Title 17 Energy Infrastructure Reinvestments, which PG&E just dipped into.
Cause for concern?
Electric utilities are rightfully concerned with the survivability of the LPO once Trump returns to the White House. Entire programs went dormant during his first presidency, and Trump will have the support of a Republican-majority House and Senate this time around.
Earlier this month, Duke Energy Carolinas and Duke Energy Progress paused their consideration of utilizing DOE loans, recognizing the money may not be there under Trump 2.0. According to a recent filing, Duke was about to hire a consultant to review EIR opportunities, but will now wait for the dust to settle.
“It is in the best interest of customers to pause any further efforts or expenditures until February, following the appointment of the new administration to gain clarity on the future of the EIR Program,” Duke Energy said.
PG&E is curious to see how it shakes out too.
“I think the number one thing that we’re interested in learning more about is the approach to the DOE loans,” detailed Shawn Adderly, director of PG&E’s Transmission Performance Center in a recent webinar on POWERGRID.
Adderly notes the application language is currently tied to renewable projects coming online, and he wonders whether the incoming Trump Administration will reframe consideration around something like predictability or grid security.
“We do need to upgrade our infrastructure,” Adderly admitted, referencing transformers operating past their expected lifespan and aging transmission lies. “I’m really hopeful, especially with the incoming administration campaigning on removing some of the bureaucracies, that they would encourage the permitting reforms to continue and to streamline the processes of regional planning and actions siting.”
“The biggest concern is just where the DOE loans land,” he reiterated.
